Momentum
Follows a return signal over the lookback window, above a threshold. Requires later executable quotes; price movement alone is not a fill.
Overview
Virtual-money research · Read-only · Real trading requires final human approval.
Is there a candidate worth reviewing?
Checking the qualification evidence…
Where are we?
Not recorded
Is measured performance available?
Checking completed outcomes…
Probability of succeeding live: Unknown
Data freshness: Checking… · No timestamp yet
What happened recently?
No recorded execution yet.
Main blocker & next step
Not recorded
Strategy test results · Leaderboard
Provisional ranking: completed outcomes first, then net result after costs. No completed outcomes means performance is not measurable.
Technical details · report counts
Reported / planned tests: — · Market observations: —
| Strategy | Net result after costs | Completed trades | Waiting for market result | Evidence & details |
|---|
No experiments match. A missing report does not imply zero PnL.
Technical details · What the strategy groups test
Reversion
Tests the opposite side of a return signal. A reversal assumption is a hypothesis, not evidence of an edge.
RSI
Tests extreme RSI-14 readings using the threshold. Oscillator extremes do not guarantee a reversal.
Probability edge
Compares calibrated probability to market cost. Uncalibrated forecasts cannot establish an advantage.
Common controls: shares set size; max_cost limits spend; latency requires a later quote; max_age limits staleness; loss_cap and drawdown_cap constrain simulated risk. Intervals use day-level evidence and multiple-trial adjustment. An insufficient sample cannot establish profitability.
Actual jobs & execution history
Worker and tunnel are systemd services, not cron. Times and counts below come from recorded executions. Unknown is not success.
Awaiting telemetry…
Recorded execution history
Collection
Owner reviews
Technical details · Reading the schedule
A target is the intended wait between cycles, not a measured collection frequency. Cycle duration is measured runtime; a slow cycle may delay the next one. History records actual executions only.
External sources
GET-only acquisition. Status reflects actual requests in the latest recorded cycle, not a general uptime promise.
Technical details · What each connection is for
Exchange candles describe price movement. Prediction-market order books describe available quotes. Contract rules define the outcome, and official resolutions settle it. These are different roles: a successful API request does not prove complete coverage or reference-price parity with the contract settlement source.
Market observations are recorded data points, not executed trades. Source request timestamps and report freshness answer different questions.
Research plan · estimates, not guarantees
Autonomous review boundaries
Progression checklist
Only recorded progress is shown. Missing milestones are not treated as complete.
Next action
Not recorded
Execution schedule
This monitor never launches collection, evaluation or trades.
Technical details
Not recorded
Technical details · Plain-English glossary
- Net result after costs (net PnL)
- Simulated gains or losses after modeled costs, for one strategy test. Not money in a wallet.
- Waiting for market result (unresolved)
- An open simulated position whose final outcome is not known. It is not a realized gain.
- Market observations
- Recorded market data points. More observations do not automatically mean stronger evidence.
- Independent validation
- Testing a fixed strategy on new, untouched evidence, rather than the data used to choose it.
- Fills
- Simulated trades supported by later executable quotes, not just price movement.
- Uncertainty interval
- A range around the estimated result. Small samples and many attempted strategies weaken confidence.
- Missing or stale
- Missing means unavailable, not zero. Stale means old or of unknown age. A failed refresh leaves the previous view visible with a warning.
Selected frozen cohort · Paper validation
3-day earliest review, 7-day planned review from an eligible frozen cohort start. Missing evidence extends review, never authorizes live trading.
Checking cohort evidence…
Review dates & required evidence
UNKNOWN
Hyperliquid · Perpetual research
Checking venue-specific evidence…
Continuous long/short derivatives: entry AND exit execution, funding, fees and spread matter. No binary YES/NO payout, no stock ownership. Initial unlevered-risk research only; leverage and liquidation cannot be ignored. No orders, credentials or automatic promotion.
Data coverage & supported instruments
Strategy definitions
Strategy screening · not a net-after-cost backtest
Paper gates & limitations
Technical details
Checking…
Notifications · latest recorded issues
Latest warning or error per issue. These are dated records, not a live incident detector; absence is not proof of health.
Loading recorded notifications…
Nine-role research organization
Coordinator directs data guardian + capability auditor + hypothesis researcher → backtest → independent skeptic veto → paper → analyst. Reliability supports all stages. Planning assignments are not attendance, consensus or completed research.
Actual check-ins
Current accountable commitments
Goal text is not included in the sanitized public API. Ownership, state and dependencies below are recorded; execution is not inferred.
Sanitized meeting records
Technical details
Not recorded